Farmland Values Resilient Amid Tight Farm Finances

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Agricultural lenders report resilient farmland values across Federal Reserve Districts across the Midwest and Plains states. Factors such as higher input costs and drought were offset by government payments and strong cattle prices. As illustrated in Chart 1, the average value of non-irrigated cropland increased across the districts by about 3%, ranging from up 7.8% in the Dallas district to unchanged in the Minneapolis Federal Reserve district. Land values remained near record levels in most regions in the first quarter of 2026, when the survey was conducted.

hart showing annual changes in nonirrigated cropland values across four Federal Reserve districts. Land values rose sharply in the early 2010s and again in 2021–2022 before moderating by 2025–2026, with Dallas showing more stable trends than the other regions.

In the Chicago district, land value trends were more variable, with Indiana and Wisconsin posting strong single-digit year-over-year gains, while Iowa farmland was slightly up and Illinois’ farmland was slightly down.

Map showing the percent change in the dollar value of good farmland across the Seventh Federal Reserve District. The top number for each state represents the change from January 1 to April 1, 2026, and the bottom number represents the change from April 1, 2025, to April 1, 2026. Most states saw little change during the first quarter of 2026, while annual changes ranged from slight declines in Illinois to stronger increases in Wisconsin and Indiana. Michigan data were unavailable due to insufficient responses.

Steady farmland values in the second quarter of 2026 was expected by 80% of the ag lenders surveyed across the district, although lenders see operational pressures. An Iowa lender responding to the survey reported, “cash flow projections for many operations are at or below breakeven for 2026 and many borrowers are using up working capital to fund those cash flow shortfalls.”

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